Evidence for Human carbon emissions.

Isotopic fingerprint.

 
Even if we accept atmospheric carbon dioxide is rising how do we know its caused by Human activity?  

First lets have a look at what is an isotope. An isotope is an atom of the same element but with a different number of neutrons in its nucleus. For example carbon has three different isotopes of mass 12, 13 and 14. Only the carbon-12 and carbon-13 isotopes are stable and found in nature. Carbon-12 is the most abundant and makes up 98.93% of all carbon on Earth, while the carbon-13 makes up only 1.07%.

 

Carbon pools may vary slightly in the ratio between 12C and 13C. For example the atmosphere has a slightly lower ratio of 12C to 13C to the biosphere. Plant and animal matter has slightly higher levels of 12C than 13C when compared to the atmosphere. Looking at the ratio between 12C and 13C we can work out where a sample came from. This is known as the isotopic fingerprint.
   

Now we have to ask. Why is it that plant and animal matter contains more 12C than 13C?

 

Well the 12C isotopes have a greater speed than the 13C isotopes. Because they are faster the 12C carbon atoms get into the plants, through tiny holes on the surface of leaves, more readily than the slower 13C. The space inside the leaf has now a slightly greater proportion of 12C atoms than the atmosphere.
Not only has the space inside the leaf a greater proportion of 12C atoms but enzymes that are involved in photosynthesis prefer the carbon dioxide molecules with the 12C isotope over the carbon dioxide molecule with the 13C isotope. There is more vibrational energy in the bonds of the lighter carbon dioxide molecule and hence it is easily broken when compared to the heavier molecule containing the 13C isotope.

What this means is that a greater proportion of 12C atoms are used in the formation of sugar during photosynthesis than would otherwise be used.

So we see that plant and animal matter has a greater proportion of 12C isotopes than the atmosphere.
Well guess what? Fossil fuels also have a greater proportion of 12C isotopes than the atmosphere, after all, fossil fuels are made of organic matter that ultimately originated from plant matter.

 

With very sensitive instruments we can now analyse samples of the atmosphere. By taking samples of ice cores that have trapped bubbles of air over hundreds of thousands of years we can study the composition of ancient air bubbles. What the data reveals is that the proportion of 12C is increasing in the atmosphere since the industrial revolution.

Taking into consideration the composition of other carbon pools we conclude that the carbon dioxide causing the increase in atmospheric carbon comes from fossil fuels.
What is an "isotopic fingerprint"?
Explain why the ratio of 12C to 13C is higher in plants than in the atmosphere?
Explain how the isotopic fingerprint was used to determine that the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide came from fossil fuel?

The image on the right shows the change in the concentration of 13C even as the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide is increasing.

Offer an explanation.

Click for a larger image

The 12 C / 13 C ratio begins to increase dramatically, that is more 12 C compared to 13 C is found in the atmosphere, just as atmospheric CO2 starts to increase around the 1850s. Explain this observation.
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